Goat Talk MLB Bets June 21st, 2021

 Goat Talk MLB Bets June 21st, 2021 

Athletics vs Rangers 

-130 Athletics 

Under 8.5 


The AL West 1st place Athletics will be playing the last place team in the Texas Rangers on Monday. The Athletics have gone 7-3 in the last ten while the Rangers continue to struggle with a 2-8 record in that time frame. The Athletics are tied with the Astros atop the AL West in what seems to be a dog fight all year long. The Athletics need to beat up on teams like the Rangers to keep pace with that offensive juggernaut they have in Houston. Oakland will send Frankie Montas to the hill. Montas has started for the Athletics 15 times in 2021 going 7-6, with a 4.21 ERA, 1.3 WHIP, 9.5 K/9, in 77 innings pitched. Montas however has gotten better every start having a 3.07 ERA with 46 strikeouts across 41 innings over his past seven starts. His last time out he looked good again against the Angels red hot lineup going seven innings holding LA to two earned runs while allowing five hits. On the moneyline in 2021 in Montas starts the Athletics are 5-3. The bet gets better and better especially when you consider he’ll be going up against a bad offense in the Rangers. Texas ranks 22nd in the league with 539 total hits (on a.228 batting average). The team also slugs a collective .369 that ranks 28th in the league, with 77 total home runs which ranks 19th in the MLB. The Rangers have been bad at offense. Their starter Kyle Gibson will need to step up if the Rangers want to win. He’s 4-0 in his 14 starts with a 2.09 ERA, 7.1 K/9 in 77.2 innings pitched. Gibson has been good for the Rangers in 2021. Gibson has been a bright spot for the Rangers. Gibson pitched against that powerful Astros offense last time out. He went six innings only giving up one earned run while allowing seven hits. However he will play an offense that scores more on the road than at home. The Athletics average 4.8 on the road and 4.3 at home. The Athletics aren’t a terrible offense; they rank 17th in MLB with a .235 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks 10th in the league (.413) and 93 home runs. The game will be low scoring, trust that. However you can’t bet for me the Rangers to win except the Athletics to get the job done. Take the Athletics  money line and then trust Gibson will keep the game low but Athletics offense and bullpen will pull through in the end for the under and win. 


Brewers vs Diamondbacks 

-118 Brewers 

Under 9.5 


In our second matchup we have a first place team playing maybe the worst team in baseball. The NL Central leading Brewers will be playing the NL West last place Diamondbacks in the desert tonight. The Brewers just split a four game set with the Rockies. They’ve played .500 ball over the last ten games going 5-5. A whole lot better than the Dbacks who have gone 0-10 in their ten losing 27 straight road games. Which is an MLB record by the way. The Diamondbacks will matchup against Brewers veteran starter Brett Anderson on Monday. Anderson has struggled in 2021 going 2-4 with a 4.24 ERA, 1.39 WHIP, 5.8 K/9 and 2.9 BB/9 through 46 2/3 IP in his 11 starts. However Anderson pitched great last time out, probably his best start of the season. Anderson went 7 scoreless innings against the offensive centric Cincinnati Reds only allowing  1 hit and 1 walk, while striking out a season-high 9 batters. Anderson had his stuff working last time out. Hopefully he can build off that start against the league's worst record in the Diamondbacks. However the Diamondbacks offense ranks higher in hits, runs, and slugging percentage. The Brewers offense ranks last in hits and 28th in strikeouts. The Brewers aren’t good at the dish at all. Diamondbacks starter Merrill Kelly will look to continue those struggles. Kelly has had his own struggles in 2021 in his 14 starts he has a poor 2-7 record with a 5.40 ERA, 1.37 WHIP, 8.3 K/9 and 2.8 BB/9 over 78 1/3 IP. Kelly pitched against the Brewers earlier this month in Milwaukee. Kelly allowed five runs (four earned) over six innings in that game. The Diamondbacks offense isn’t terrible but their bullpen is so he’ll have to be good for them to win. Arizona hasn’t won in Kelly’s last eight starts; he's allowed at least 3 earned runs in each of his last four outings. Kelly has been bad that’s why you take Brewers straight moneyline. The Dbacks have been bad, more reason to take the Brewers. However, taking the under 9.5 seems like a lot for such a down offense like the Brewers even against Kelly. The Dbacks are the Dbacks so don’t expect much take the under. 


Astros vs O’s

Astros -1.5 -110 

Over 10 


In our last pick of the day we go to Baltimore where the AL East last place Orioles welcome in the co first place AL West leaders Houston Astros. The Astros are red hot at the moment. Coming off a four game sweep of the AL Central leading Chicago White Sox. The Astros have gone 8-2 in the last ten to tie the Athletics atop the AL West. They’ve been able to stay hot because of their offense. Houston may have the best offense in the league. Ranking first in the MLB in hits, runs, OPS, and they don’t ever strikeout ranking first in that as well. Playing the Astros is tough because they make a lot of contact and they put the ball where the fielders are not a lot. Making the over look great against the Orioles who are ranked 29th in ERA. The Orioles will send Keegan Akin to the mound to try to solve the Astros offense. In just Akin’s fifth start of the season he will have a very tall task. In his few starts Akin has gone 0-2 with a 5.76 ERA, 8.2 K/9, 3.0 BB/9, through just 29 innings pitched. The lefty didn’t look good either in his last start. Against the Indians last Wednesday Akin gave up eight earned runs and allowed eight hits in 5 2/3 innings. The Astros are much better offensively than the Indians. The Orioles have lost all five times Aiken starts on the moneyline. Hard to trust Aiken here. The Astros will throw Jake Odorizzi against the last place Orioles. He hasn’t been great in Baltimore going 3-3 with a 4.83 ERA in 10 career starts at Camden Yards. Odorizzi hasn’t been what the Astros expected when they signed him either. Odorizzi has just pitched 25.1 innings in just seven starts going 1-3 with a 5.68 ERA, 9.2 K/9, and 2.8 BB/9. The Astros definitely want more out of their free agent signing. Odorizzi will be going up against an average offense. The Orioles as a team have a .238 batting average, and are 15th in the league with 561 total hits, and 21st in MLB with 291 runs scored. Baltimore has the 11th-ranked slugging percentage (.400), and rank 15th in home runs (83) in all of the MLB. The Orioles could get to him. The Astros have hit the over 42 times in their last 71 games. Take the over in this one. Considering the Orioles bullpen and starting pitching tonight take the Astros down 1.5 to increase your odds. Expect the Astros to win big with a lot of runs. 


By Matthew Doherty 


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