Goat Talk MLB Bets 5/20/2021

 Goat Talk MLB Bets 5/20/2021 

Phillies vs Marlins 

Under 8 

Let's start with some NL East action. Maybe the most unpredictable division in all of the world but scared money doesn't make money. Here we are betting on the NL East. We are kind of scared so we’ll just stick with the under 8 runs. The second place Phillies will send Vince Velasquez to get the ball in his sixth start of the season. Velasquez has had an average year for the Phillies being 1-0 with a 3.68 ERA in 29 1/3 innings pitched, with 37 strikeouts, averaging 11 strikeouts through nine. He’s the reason why honestly we are betting under, both offenses are bad. However in a matchup such as this you have to still trust the starter to bet the under. Velasquez last time out last Friday held the Bluejays to one earned run while allowing three hits in 5 2/3 pitched. He can do more against the Marlins. The Miami offense isn’t good. They are 19th in average which is out doing themselves, 25th in slugging, and 27th in home runs. Velasquez and that terrible Phillies bullpen will figure out how to keep the Marlins offense under control like most. Yes, Marlins starter Sandy Alcantara doesn’t have knockdown numbers with a 1-3 record and 4.30 ERA. However the Phillies lineup is beat up while also only being the 19th best team in scoring in 2021. Trust me the game will be a 3-2 game all day take the under. 

Angels vs Twins Game 2 

ML Angels +102 

Yes we are going with the Angels in game two of the series. In the first game of the doubleheader there was no underdog however in the second the people at FanDuel put the Angels as a slight one so we’ll take that. The Twins have been very disappointing in 2021 being 18-24 which is last in the AL Central. The Angels are missing Mike Trout slowing down their offense of course. That’s what usually happens when the best player in the world leaves the lineup. Nonetheless go with the Angels. The Angels offense can figure it out against Twins pitcher Jose Berríos who is 3-2, with a 3.74 ERA, and 49 SO in 2021. His 49 strikeouts leads the Twins. Harder throwers don’t do well against the offensive centric Angels. He pitched his best outing against the Athletics last Friday going seven innings. The start before he gave up multiple home runs to the worst offense in the league the Detroit Tigers. The Angels will jump on him early. Angels starting has been their Achilles heel outside of Ohanti. Griffin Canning will get the ball in the second game. Canning’s 2021 season stats of 3-2, with 4.78 ERA, and 37 SO are not good. However lately in May Canning has been doing his thing. In three starts in May Canning has an ERA of 1.59. In Canning's last start he pitched six innings and only gave up two runs to the league’s best offense in Boston. Take the Angels in this one Canning will have a good start and Angels will jump on Minnesota. 

Pirates vs Braves 

Under 9

Braves moneyline 

Yes the Braves are the favorite which they should go with them to take the game. The Braves have been disappointing in 2021, their starting pitcher hasn’t been good, very inconsistent offense, and plagued with injuries. However the Braves are only four games out of first even with all these woes. They will send Drew Smyly to the mound. Smyly has been a part of the disappointing having one of the worst Aprils you could have. His above five ERA is all from the month of April. However he’s been in a groove since May hit. He’s only let two runs combined in both of his starts in May. The Pirates offense has only scored more than three runs only twice in their last seven games. The Braves have been struggling losing 6 of their last 10 games, including three of their last four. Why bet on the Braves? Well because the Pirates have been worse. The Pirates are last in the league in runs. They are also sending out Will Crowe who has been inconsistent. He got rough up by the Giants in the fifth last start giving up three runs in the fifth. Don’t expect a good start from him here. Braves win and bet the under. Both offenses are two inconsistent. Yes Smyly has a groove and Pirates won’t produce, Braves will produce enough to win. 

Red Sox vs Blue Jays 

ML Sox +120 

Over 9.5 

First thing first we will never bet the under when the Red Sox are playing especially against an AL East rival. The AL East is an offensive machine. If the Yankees are the worst while struggling still top 20 in runs that’s a dangerous division. The Red Sox are leading the Red Sox are holding on to a small one game lead over the Rays and 1.5 game lead over the Jays. Coming off a loss expect them to bounce back. The Sox have had a great year at the dish being first in runs and top three in hits. They will be matching up against Steven Matz, the most inconsistent pitcher you could watch. Matz allowed just three runs in his first three outings, then 17 runs over his next four. He looked like an ace one night than a bullpen pitcher starting the next. He pitched a scoreless seven against the bad Phillies offense last time out so bet he will do poorly against the great offense of the Red Sox. Boston is one of the best against left handed pitchers like Matz. Boston is sixth in the MLB with a .772 team OPS against left-handed pitching and the beat up Jays bullpen was forced to go to work with 5 1/3 innings on Wednesday. Matz won’t have help he will need. The Red Sox will send out Nick Pivetta who has been their best starter in 2021. Offensives are only hitting .189 in 2021. That’s really good for him. He’s let him two or less runs in his last six starts. However he will have a tall task as the Jays offense has been hitting 306/.366/.495 as a team over their last eight games. The Red Sox are hitting .293/.329/.553 over their last six. Take the over and the Sox to win. 

By Matthew Doherty 

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